‘Could not be more misguided’

A presidential historian, known for accurately predicting election outcomes, urged Democratic Party leaders not to abandon President Biden after a challenging debate performance. Allan Lichtman, an American University history professor, emphasized that pundits have been wrong in the past and emphasized the importance of judging Biden’s presidency over his performance in a single debate.

Lichtman’s prediction system, based on 13 “Keys to the White House,” has successfully predicted election outcomes since 1984. He pointed out that removing Biden from the race would put the Democrats at a disadvantage in terms of key factors that influence election results.

Lichtman highlighted the historical significance of an uncertain or contested nomination in predicting election outcomes. He also emphasized that a major party candidate has never won re-election in such circumstances.

Despite concerns about Biden’s mental and cognitive health, Lichtman cautioned against premature judgments and emphasized the need to assess his presidency over time. He also criticized media coverage that focused on Biden’s mental fitness.

The article also mentioned that the first family retreated to Camp David to discuss Biden’s political future, with some blaming aides for his debate performance. Despite concerns raised in polls about Biden’s mental health, there is no clear path to replace him on the Democratic ticket.

Overall, Lichtman’s insights shed light on the complexities surrounding Biden’s candidacy and the challenges faced by the Democratic Party in the upcoming election.